AC
ASTRONICS CORP (ATRO)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue rose 11.3% YoY to $205.9M, driven by record Aerospace sales; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.26 and adjusted EPS was $0.44 as margins expanded with volume and efficiency gains .
- Against S&P Global consensus, Astronics delivered a revenue beat (~$206.0M actual vs $191.9M estimate) and an adjusted EPS beat ($0.44 actual vs $0.30 estimate); S&P’s EBITDA definition showed a slight miss versus its estimate while company-reported adjusted EBITDA was $30.7M (14.9% margin) (all starred values from S&P) .
- Bookings hit a quarterly record at $279.7M (book-to-bill 1.36x) and backlog reached a record $673.0M, underpinned by a $57M FLRAA order; 76% of backlog is expected to convert within 12 months .
- 2025 revenue guidance was maintained at $820–$860M; capex outlook increased to $35–$50M to support consolidation, capacity and automation; management highlighted tariff risks ($10–$20M potential annual material cost impact before mitigation) and detailed mitigation levers .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Aerospace delivered record sales of $191.4M (+17% YoY) with adjusted segment operating margin at 16.2%; CEO: “Our Aerospace business is performing quite well, with another quarter of double-digit revenue growth” .
- Bookings and backlog set new records ($279.7M bookings; $673.0M backlog), including a $57M FLRAA development order; CEO reiterated FLRAA as a significant long-term driver .
- Margin expansion from operating leverage and productivity drove adjusted operating income to $22.6M (11.0% margin) and adjusted EBITDA to $30.7M (14.9% margin) .
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What Went Wrong
- Test Systems remained challenged: sales fell to $14.6M (–32% YoY), with a $1.9M estimated cost revision on a long-term mass transit contract and segment operating loss of $(2.2)M; bookings were thin at $12.0M .
- UK litigation drove a $6.2M reserve true-up (damages and interest accrual) and ~$3.0M in legal expenses in the quarter; management flagged potential legal-fee reimbursement risk (plaintiff estimate ~$7.2M) .
- Macro/tariff uncertainty: management estimated potential annual material cost headwind of $10–$20M before mitigation, creating downside risk to outlook if not offset .
Financial Results
Performance vs prior quarters and prior year
Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus (Primary EPS is S&P’s “adjusted EPS” construct)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment and market detail
KPIs and cash/liquidity
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our first quarter results show a very strong start to 2025… Adjusted EBITDA of $31 million, or 15% of sales… record bookings… record backlog” — Peter Gundermann, CEO .
- “Adjusted operating income was $22.6 million or 11% of sales… adjusted EPS $0.44… interest expense declined $2.6 million YoY due to our successful refinancing” — Nancy Hedges, CFO .
- “We estimate our tariff obligation… before mitigations is in the range of $10 million to $20 million… we have a full toolkit to deal with final tariffs… supply chain modifications… pass-through pricing… duty drawback, free trade zones” — CEO .
- “Our Test business… results were complicated by the increase in estimate at completion on an elongated and complex long-term contract… we expect results to improve steadily… anchored by the production start for the U.S. Army radio test program… on track for the fourth quarter” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff exposure and mitigation: Management cannot time mitigation until tariff clarity, estimates roughly 3/4 direct and 1/4 indirect exposure; prior pivot away from China provides some insulation .
- Portfolio/business reviews: Ongoing reviews could lead to rationalization; Test Systems is the largest area under scrutiny given persistent challenges .
- 737/MAX exposure: No major changes communicated by Boeing; Astronics expects to build at slightly reduced rate versus Boeing’s and is encouraged by rate progression into 2025; China impact not seen as consequential for 2025 .
- Test Systems EAC risk: Additional risk remains on the long-term project; company is validating estimates amid a deeper review .
- UK legal tail risk: Worst-case legal fee reimbursement estimated at ~$7.2M; total UK-related cash outlays around $20–$23M worst-case; appeals likely extend into 2026 .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q1 2025: Revenue ~$191.9M* vs actual $205.9M; Primary EPS $0.30* vs adjusted EPS $0.44; EBITDA $26.5M* vs S&P EBITDA “actual” $25.0M* and company Adjusted EBITDA $30.7M .
- Implications: Street models likely need to raise revenue run-rate and adjusted EPS trajectory given stronger Aerospace volume and operating leverage; differences in EBITDA definition (S&P vs company “Adjusted EBITDA”) should be reconciled in models. Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Aerospace is the growth and margin engine: record sales, bookings and backlog with adjusted segment margin at 16.2%; momentum appears durable across Commercial Transport and Military, notably FLRAA .
- The print was a clean top-line and adjusted EPS beat vs S&P consensus, with strong gross/operating margin expansion; GAAP results reflect legal accruals and costs .
- Tariffs are the primary macro swing factor; management has credible mitigation levers but timing awaits policy clarity; near-term headline risk remains .
- Test Systems remains the weak link; watch for scope outcomes from the business review and Q4 U.S. Army radio test production start as catalysts for improving profitability .
- Liquidity improved (net debt down to ~$134M; $20.6M CFO), enabling continued investment (capex raised to $35–$50M) and optionality on capital allocation as operations strengthen .
- Additional product/award news in Q1 (EmPower UltraLite G2 recognition; SkyShow Server launch) underscores competitive positioning in cabin power and IFEC .
- Near-term trading: stock sensitivity likely to tariff headlines and Test Systems updates; medium-term thesis anchored by Aerospace backlog conversion, margin expansion, and FLRAA program execution .
Notes: All company metrics and quotes are from the Q1 2025 8‑K/press release and earnings call. S&P Global consensus and S&P-defined actuals are starred and may differ from company non‑GAAP definitions. Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.